ai trading / congressional trading / backtesting / quantitative trading
Who Beat Nancy Pelosi’s Trades? One Congressional Bot Returned 238%
Austin compares two congressional copy trading bots over the same five year backtest. The Nancy Pelosi bot turns a hypothetical $100,000 into about $204,000, while the Debbie Wasserman Schultz bot reaches about $338,000. These are historical backtest results, not live returns.
He explains how the analysis uses more than 10,000 House and Senate filings and a dataset of 186,000 trades. Each trade is counted only after its disclosure became public to avoid looking into the future. The video names several stocks in the second bot and shows where viewers can explore the strategy.
Transcript
0:00If you copied Nancy Pelosi's trades the day after they became public, you'd have turned $100,000 into $204,000 over the last five years. But this one congresswoman more than tripled hers. Stick to the end and I'll show you how you can copy her trades for absolutely free.
0:16But first, I'm going to tell you how I performed this analysis. First, I pulled every single House and Senate filing since 2012, and there were more than 10,000 of them.
0:30Then I cleaned them into one database of 186,000 trades. Finally, I published this as a free, open dataset on Hugging Face that you can download with one simple command.
0:46Every trade only counts from the day it became public, not the day it happened. This prevents lookahead bias, and the results never peek into the future.
1:04Then I built a copy trading bot for every single member of Congress and backtested all of them. Honestly, the results shocked me. Nancy Pelosi, the poster child of politician copy trading, turned $100,000 into about $204,000.
1:22That's a 104% gain, while the S&P 500 made 84%.
1:34Not bad, sure, but it's nothing compared to Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz of Florida.
1:44Over the same five years, her bot turned $100,000 into $338,000. That's a 238% gain across five years.
1:57It bought stocks like Patterson-UTI, Alamos Gold, New Gold, and Hecla Mining, none of which is discussed here on TikTok.
2:07This year alone, it's up over 140%, while the S&P 500 is up 13%.
2:20This site lets you copy her trades for absolutely free. Comment CONGRESS below and I'll DM you a link to get started.
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