Shared agent run on NexusTrade
SpaceX (SPCX) IPO and Market Audit Analysis
A detailed financial audit and backtest of stock price levels for SpaceX (SPCX) and other tickers following its August 2026 IPO, featuring native alert tracking and session performance data.
User: How does this ACTUALLY perform? SPCX is SpaceX (just IPO'd).
Aurora: 1. **Describe Attachments** — Inspect the upload and classify it as dated callouts, a reusable setup, or another artifact; extract every raw line, source timestamp, asset, independently stated number, ambiguous fragment, non-price mention, direction, horizon, and missing rule. 2. **Stock Screener** — If it is dated callout evidence, adjudicate every extracted symbol and level in one bounded native market-data batch, including unfamiliar or newly listed symbols; retain supported, pending, ambiguous, and non-numeric rows in a complete ledger. 3. **Generate Portfolios** — For dated callouts, encode only supported source-fidelity non-trading audit components without inventing entries, targets, stops, sizing, option roles, or pairings. For a reusable setup, encode only rules actually established by the upload and clearly label necessary assumptions. 4. **Backtest Portfolios** — For dated callouts, replay from the source timestamp through the earlier of the stated horizon and latest fully completed exchange session in the market timezone, never over weekends, future sessions, or pre-source years. For a reusable setup, use the defensible historical window supported by its actual rules an…
User: Describe Attachments: Inspect the uploaded artifact under the explicit premise that SPCX is SpaceX and SpaceX just IPO'd as of Monday, Aug 17, 2026. Extract every raw line and component: source timestamp, ticker/asset, each independently stated number, price level, percentage, premium or other numeric fragment, direction, horizon, event/news mention, and any missing or ambiguous rule. Do not challenge or substitute the SPCX→SpaceX mapping; preserve the exact wording and classify each component as potentially scoreable, pending/unobservable, or ambiguous without inventing entry/target/strike/premium roles.
Aurora: Based on the provided image and your specific premise that **SPCX** represents **SpaceX** following its IPO on Monday, August 17, 2026, here is the extraction and classification of the data. ### **Source Metadata** * **Source Timestamp:** 8:16 AM · 8/14/26 (Friday) * **Platform UI:** X (formerly Twitter) post by user "smartertrader" * **Engagement Metrics:** 8K Views, 1 Reply, 16 Likes, 3 Bookmarks --- ### **Data Extraction & Classification** | Raw Line / Component | Ticker/Asset | Numeric Fragments | Direction/Horizon | Event/News Mention | Classification | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | **nbis like 270 next week at under 4** | nbis | 270, 4 | "next week" | None | **Scoreable** (Price/Time targets) | | **lite 909 962 beast** | lite | 909, 962 | None | "beast" (sentiment) | **Scoreable** (Price levels) | | **cohr 352 372** | cohr | 352, 372 | None | None | **Scoreable** (Price levels) | | **msft 503 509** | msft | 503, 509 | None | None | **Scoreable** (Price levels) | | **sndk ceo on cnbc right now** | sndk | None | "right now" | CEO on CNBC | **Pending/Unobservable** (News event) | | **spcx 149 161** | **spcx (SpaceX)** | 149, 161 | None | None | **Scoreable** (Pr…
User: Stock Screener: Adjudicate every component from this dated attachment for a source-time market audit. Explicit premises: today is Monday, Aug 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO'd on Monday, Aug 17, 2026. Do not challenge or substitute that mapping. The source timestamp is Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. Preserve the raw wording and evaluate each independently stated underlying level without selecting based on whether it was reached: “nbis like 270 next week at under 4”; “lite 909 962 beast”; “cohr 352 372”; “msft 503 509”; “sndk ceo on cnbc right now”; “spcx 149 161”; “gs needs 1071”; “tsla pop 351 367”; “wow day”. For each component, determine symbol identity, native data availability, source-time price scale plausibility, and whether each numeric fragment is independently auditable as an underlying price level. Keep unresolved modifiers and non-price/news fragments separately classified as unscored or pending with the exact raw wording and reason; do not infer entry/target/strike/premium roles, pairings, or option semantics. Return a complete row-by-row ledger with ticker, raw text, number, classification (scoreable, pending/unobservable, or unscored), and the market-…
Aurora: ## Results | Ticker | Price Date | Open Price | High Price | Low Price | Close Price | Volume | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | COHR | 2026-08-14 | 328.58 | 346.17 | 317.20 | 325.83 | $8.8M | | COHR | 2026-08-13 | 344.88 | 361.99 | 325.27 | 327.23 | $13.1M | | COHR | 2026-08-12 | 358.14 | 362.06 | 338.73 | 355.64 | $12.5M | | COHR | 2026-08-11 | 323.86 | 332.00 | 315.40 | 328.57 | $6.5M | | COHR | 2026-08-10 | 383.19 | 386.50 | 325.00 | 325.15 | $9.8M | | COHR | 2026-08-07 | 360.02 | 391.37 | 353.15 | 379.13 | $11.3M | | COHR | 2026-08-06 | 314.71 | 354.47 | 309.19 | 334.22 | $6.0M | | COHR | 2026-08-05 | 319.40 | 347.66 | 319.40 | 328.22 | $5.8M | | COHR | 2026-08-04 | 325.87 | 336.36 | 316.10 | 323.73 | $9.0M | | COHR | 2026-08-03 | 254.86 | 293.04 | 248.47 | 288.14 | $5.5M | | COHR | 2026-07-31 | 275.90 | 281.99 | 257.13 | 262.89 | $5.5M | | GS | 2026-08-14 | 1,040.91 | 1,043.74 | 1,029.58 | 1,039.42 | $1.6M | | … (64 omitted) | … | … | … | … | … | … | | SPCX | 2026-07-31 | 113.10 | 113.64 | 107.57 | 108.37 | $58.8M | | TSLA | 2026-08-14 | 342.33 | 351.26 | 335.33 | 342.27 | $45.4M | | TSLA | 2026-08-13 | 327.20 | 341.64 | 325.24 | 339.96 | $34.7M | | TSLA | 2026-…
User: Generate Portfolios: Create one non-trading dated-callout audit portfolio named 'Aug 14 2026 Source-Level Audit'. Preserve the explicit premises verbatim: today is Monday, Aug 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO'd on Monday, Aug 17, 2026; source timestamp is Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. Create native price-level alert components, not trades, with each level independently auditable and with no inferred entry/target/stop/strike/premium roles or pairings: NBIS 270 from raw wording 'nbis like 270 next week at under 4'; LITE 909 and LITE 962 from 'lite 909 962 beast'; COHR 352 and COHR 372 from 'cohr 352 372'; MSFT 503 and MSFT 509 from 'msft 503 509'; SPCX 149 and SPCX 161 from 'spcx 149 161', treating SPCX as SpaceX under the explicit premise; GS 1071 from 'gs needs 1071'; TSLA 351 and TSLA 367 from 'tsla pop 351 367'. Do not encode 'under 4', 'next week', 'beast', 'ceo on cnbc right now', 'pop', 'needs', or 'wow day' as separate price or trading mechanics. Keep the original raw wording attached to each component and make the portfolio non-trading for audit purposes.
Aurora: Created 1 portfolio. - Aug 14 2026 Source-Level Audit: portfolioId=6a832bb112d7942e5da59043; strategies=Alert when NBIS High of Day ≥ Constant 270 and NBIS Low of Day ≤ Constant 270; Alert when LITE High of Day ≥ Constant 909 and LITE Low of Day ≤ Constant 909; Alert when LITE High of Day ≥ Constant 962 and LITE Low of Day ≤ Constant 962; Alert when COHR High of Day ≥ Constant 352 and COHR Low of Day ≤ Constant 352; Alert when COHR High of Day ≥ Constant 372 and COHR Low of Day ≤ Constant 372; Alert when MSFT High of Day ≥ Constant 503 and MSFT Low of Day ≤ Constant 503; Alert when MSFT High of Day ≥ Constant 509 and MSFT Low of Day ≤ Constant 509; Alert when SPCX High of Day ≥ Constant 149 and SPCX Low of Day ≤ Constant 149; Alert when SPCX High of Day ≥ Constant 161 and SPCX Low of Day ≤ Constant 161; Alert when GS High of Day ≥ Constant 1071 and GS Low of Day ≤ Constant 1071; Alert when TSLA High of Day ≥ Constant 351 and TSLA Low of Day ≤ Constant 351; Alert when TSLA High of Day ≥ Constant 367 and TSLA Low of Day ≤ Constant 367 Use these portfolioIds directly in subsequent portfolio tools. Do not fetch or ask the user to recover IDs already listed here.
User: Backtest Portfolios: Backtest the existing non-trading portfolio 6a832bb112d7942e5da59043, named 'Aug 14 2026 Source-Level Audit', from Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET through Friday, Aug 14, 2026 market close, the latest fully completed session before today, Monday, Aug 17, 2026. This is a dated source-level audit, not a trading strategy: preserve these premises verbatim — today is Monday, Aug 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO'd on Monday, Aug 17, 2026; source timestamp is Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. Enable detailed events. Evaluate each native price-level alert independently without inferring entry, target, stop, strike, premium, direction, or pairings. Do not add trades or substitute any symbol.
Aurora: Started 1 native backtest. Backtest IDs: ["6a832bbe4ba0007fa517fb81"]. Next, call Read Backtest with exactly these backtestIds. Do not run Backtest Portfolios again for the same portfolio and window.
User: Read Backtest: Read backtest 6a832bbe4ba0007fa517fb81 for the non-trading dated-callout audit portfolio 'Aug 14 2026 Source-Level Audit'. Preserve these premises verbatim: today is Monday, Aug 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO'd on Monday, Aug 17, 2026; source timestamp is Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. Return a complete row-by-row result for every independently audited native price level, with alert status, source-window OHLC evidence, event/action evidence, and any pending or unobservable components. Do not infer entry, target, stop, strike, premium, direction, or pairings.
Aurora: ## Deployment posture and material caveat This was a **non-trading dated-callout audit**, not an investment strategy. The reported headline `medianDeployment=0.0%` indicates the primary run was flat, but the validation statistic reports `medianDeployment=100.28%`. That inconsistency, together with the warning that **no trades were executed**, means deployment is not a reliable measure of timing quality here. > **Material warning:** “This completed backtest executed no trades. Its performance metrics do not describe an active strategy.” Because this portfolio was intentionally configured with native price-level alerts rather than trades, zero participation is consistent with its design. It should not be optimized or judged as an investable strategy based on this run. ## Backtest versus baseline The portfolio is compared with SPY over the single evaluation window **2026-08-14 to 2026-08-15** (`windowKey: 2026-08-14|2026-08-15|Day|SPY`). | Backtest | Status | Portfolio return | SPY baseline return | Alpha | Max drawdown | Sharpe | Sortino | Trading activity | |---|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---:|---| | Aug 14 2026 Source-Level Audit | COMPLETE | **0.00%** | **-0.2826%** | **+0.282…
User: Query Backtest Events: For backtest 6a832bbe4ba0007fa517fb81, query only the native alert/action events and their condition evidence for the source session beginning Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET through the Aug 14, 2026 market close. Preserve these premises verbatim: today is Monday, Aug 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO'd on Monday, Aug 17, 2026; source timestamp is Friday, Aug 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. Return one result for each independently audited level: NBIS 270 from raw wording 'nbis like 270 next week at under 4'; LITE 909 and 962 from 'lite 909 962 beast'; COHR 352 and 372 from 'cohr 352 372'; MSFT 503 and 509 from 'msft 503 509'; SPCX 149 and 161 from 'spcx 149 161'; GS 1071 from 'gs needs 1071'; TSLA 351 and 367 from 'tsla pop 351 367'. Include alert status, event timestamp, source-window OHLC/high-low evidence, native symbol/data availability, and any pending or unobservable result. Do not infer entry, target, stop, strike, premium, direction, or pairings. Do not treat 'under 4', 'next week', 'beast', 'ceo on cnbc right now', 'pop', 'needs', or 'wow day' as price mechanics.
Aurora: ## Backtest Events (page 1/1, 1 matching) Backtest: 6a832bbe4ba0007fa517fb81 Retention: Mongo hot-store only; raw backtest event traces expire after 3 days. Applied filters: event_types=[AlertSignal] | from=2026-08-14 | to=2026-08-14T23:59:59.999Z | include_noise_events=false | include_condition_audit=true | raw=false [2026-08-14 20:00:00] AlertSignal signals: 3 - - strategy: 6a832bbd12d7942e5da59519 condition: NBIS High of Day ≥ Constant 270 and NBIS Low of Day ≤ Constant 270 - - strategy: 6a832bbd12d7942e5da5951a condition: LITE High of Day ≥ Constant 909 and LITE Low of Day ≤ Constant 909 - - strategy: 6a832bbd12d7942e5da59523 condition: TSLA High of Day ≥ Constant 351 and TSLA Low of Day ≤ Constant 351 true condition [6a832bbd12d7942e5da59519] NBIS High of Day ≥ Constant 270 and NBIS Low of Day ≤ Constant 270: true [0.0]: 278.6600036621094 greaterThanOrEqual 270 true [0.1]: 256.9049987792969 lessThanOrEqual 270 true condition [6a832bbd12d7942e5da5951a] LITE High of Day ≥ Constant 909 and LITE Low of Day ≤ Constant 909: true [0.0]: 957.89501953125 greaterThanOrEqual 909 true [0.1]: 885.2700805664062 lessThanOrEqual 909 true condition [6a832bbd12d7942e5da59523] TSLA High of Day…
User: ## Dated source-level audit — Aug. 14, 2026 **Premises preserved verbatim:** today is Monday, Aug. 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO’d on Monday, Aug. 17, 2026; source timestamp is Friday, Aug. 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. This was a **non-trading native price-level audit**. No entry, target, stop, strike, premium, direction, or pairing was inferred. ### Independently audited levels | Ticker | Raw wording | Level | Classification | Alert/event status | Source-window evidence | |---|---|---:|---|---|---| | NBIS | “nbis like 270 next week at under 4” | 270 | **Scoreable** | **Alert fired** at 2026-08-14 20:00 UTC | Condition evidence: high **278.6600 ≥ 270**; low **256.9050 ≤ 270**. The level was within the session range. | | LITE | “lite 909 962 beast” | 909 | **Scoreable** | **Alert fired** at 2026-08-14 20:00 UTC | High **957.8950 ≥ 909**; low **885.2701 ≤ 909**. The level was within the session range. | | LITE | “lite 909 962 beast” | 962 | **Scoreable** | **Pending/unobservable in returned event evidence** | The event query returned no native alert for 962, but the supplied event result did not include LITE’s complete source-window OHLC for this level. Therefore I do not lab…
Aurora: ## Dated source-level audit — Aug. 14, 2026 **Premises preserved verbatim:** today is Monday, Aug. 17, 2026; SPCX is SpaceX; SpaceX just IPO’d on Monday, Aug. 17, 2026; source timestamp is Friday, Aug. 14, 2026 at 8:16 AM ET. This was a **non-trading native price-level audit**. No entry, target, stop, strike, premium, direction, or pairing was inferred. ### Independently audited levels | Ticker | Raw wording | Level | Classification | Alert/event status | Source-window evidence | |---|---|---:|---|---|---| | NBIS | “nbis like 270 next week at under 4” | 270 | **Scoreable** | **Alert fired** at 2026-08-14 20:00 UTC | Condition evidence: high **278.6600 ≥ 270**; low **256.9050 ≤ 270**. The level was within the session range. | | LITE | “lite 909 962 beast” | 909 | **Scoreable** | **Alert fired** at 2026-08-14 20:00 UTC | High **957.8950 ≥ 909**; low **885.2701 ≤ 909**. The level was within the session range. | | LITE | “lite 909 962 beast” | 962 | **Scoreable** | **Pending/unobservable in returned event evidence** | The event query returned no native alert for 962, but the supplied event result did not include LITE’s complete source-window OHLC for this level. Therefore I do not lab…