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Meta (META) Trade Audit: RSI and Strategy Verification

An AI-driven audit of a public trading portfolio comparing Meta's 14-day RSI and SPY's 200-day SMA to verify if automated trade conditions were met on May 6, 2026.

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User

Look at my public portfolio, Meta’s RSI, and confirm that the trade I made today indeed should’ve happened

Aurora

I will audit your public portfolio and Meta's technical data to verify today's trade. I'll check the specific RSI levels at the time of execution and cross-reference them with your portfolio's strategy rules.

Audit Plan

  1. Identify the Public Portfolio: I will use Fetch User Portfolios to locate your portfolio named "Public" and retrieve its current strategies and configuration.

  2. Audit Today's Trading Events: I will use the Portfolio Event Auditor to retrieve all events for today (May 6, 2026) for that portfolio. I'll specifically look for orders, fills, and signal evaluations related to Meta (META) to see exactly when and why the trade was triggered.

  3. Analyze Meta's RSI: I will use the Stock Screener to pull Meta's RSI(14) data for today. This will allow me to see the RSI value at the time the trade occurred.

  4. Confirm and Synthesize: I will compare the RSI data with the trade execution and your portfolio's strategy logic. I'll provide a clear confirmation of whether the trade aligned with the RSI conditions and explain the underlying data that drove the execution.

Tools: Fetch User Portfolios, Portfolio Event Auditor, Stock Screener

User

Find my portfolio named 'Public' to retrieve its ID and strategy configuration.

Aurora

Performance Summary Table

Name Type Total Return (%) Sharpe Ratio Max Drawdown (%) Alpha vs Benchmark (%) Current Value
Public Portfolio Challenge Live (Public) -4.35% -1.20 0.73% -6.75% $24,989.12

Position Analysis

Top Holdings by Weight:

  1. GOOG Bull Call Spread: ~10.3% ($2,566 net value)
  2. META Bull Call Spread: ~7.2% ($1,805 net value)
  3. AVGO Bull Call Spread: ~6.1% ($1,523 net value)

Concentration Risk:

  • No single position exceeds the 30% threshold. The portfolio is currently balanced across three major tech names using vertical spreads.

Fundamental Insights:

  • META: Trading at a P/E of 21.97 and P/S of 7.22. The company shows healthy growth with a Revenue CAGR of 14.26% and strong liquidity (Free Cash Flow: $46.1B). Total debt stands at $83.9B, which is well-covered by an EBITDA of $104.5B.
  • GOOG: Valuation is slightly higher than Meta with a P/E of 29.35. It maintains robust profitability with Net Income of $132.2B and a Net Income CAGR of 14.82%.
  • AVGO: Fundamental data for P/E and P/S is not available, but it shows strong growth with a Revenue CAGR of 17.78% and a high analyst rating of 4.5.
  • NVDA: Currently not held in the portfolio, but fundamental data shows a premium P/E of 39.99 and explosive Revenue CAGR of 48.39%.

Key Insights

  • Performance Lag: The portfolio is underperforming the SPY benchmark by 6.75%. This is likely due to the "innovation" focus (tech-heavy) during a period where the broader market (SPY) returned 6.71%.
  • Strategy Execution: Your strategy requires SPY > 200-day SMA and Asset RSI > 50 to open positions. The current positions in META, GOOG, and AVGO suggest these conditions were met at the time of entry.
  • Risk Management: You have automated "Close" rules for drawdowns > 25% and standard profit/loss targets (50% gain / 30% loss). This disciplined approach is reflected in the very low Max Drawdown of 0.73%.
  • Diversification: The portfolio is highly concentrated in the Mega-cap Tech sector. While these companies have strong fundamentals (high FCF and EBITDA), the portfolio lacks sector diversification, making it sensitive to tech-specific volatility.

Answer to Your Question

Regarding your META trade today:
Your strategy configuration triggers a META Bull Call Spread when:

  1. SPY > 200-day SMA
  2. META 14-day RSI > 50
  3. Open META spreads < 1

Based on the current positions, you are holding a META 610/655 Bull Call Spread (Expiring June 5, 2026). Since this position is active and your strategy is automated, the trade should have happened only if META's RSI was above 50 at the time of execution. Given META's strong fundamental rating (3.5) and healthy cash flow, the trade aligns with your "Innovation" momentum criteria.

Note: To confirm the exact RSI value at the precise minute of the trade, I would need to pull the historical intraday technicals for today's timestamp.

User

Retrieve all events for today, May 6, 2026, for the 'Public Portfolio Challenge' (ID: 69a7dc7acdb6bf6a4681d36c). Focus on signal evaluations and orders for META to verify the RSI value at the time of the trade.

Aurora

No events found for portfolio "Public Portfolio Challenge" (69a7dc7acdb6bf6a4681d36c) with the requested filters. Try a wider date window, different event types, or include Market/NoSignal events if you are auditing raw cadence.

User

What is the current 14-day RSI for META and the current price of SPY compared to its 200-day Simple Moving Average as of today, May 6, 2026?

Aurora

Results

Ticker Price Date Current Price Rsi 14 Spy Sma 200 Pct Above Sma200
META 2026-05-05 604.96 28.45 N/A N/A
SPY 2026-05-05 723.77 N/A 671.87 7.73

This data provides a snapshot of the market conditions for META and the broader market via SPY as of May 5, 2026. The most striking observation is the technical divergence between the two: while the SPY remains in a healthy long-term uptrend, trading 7.73% above its 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $671.87, META is showing signs of significant short-term selling pressure.

Specifically, META has a 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 28.45. In technical analysis, an RSI below 30 is traditionally considered "oversold," suggesting that the stock has faced a rapid decline recently that may be overextended. This contrast is unusual; it indicates that META is struggling individually even as the general market (SPY) maintains a price of $723.77 and stays well above its long-term support levels.

Important Cautions and Disclaimers
AI-generated analyses can be inaccurate or hallucinate trends; always verify these figures against official financial statements or real-time market data. Technical indicators like RSI and SMA are based on historical price action and do not guarantee future results. This summary is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.

User

I have audited your Public Portfolio Challenge and the technical data for Meta (META) to verify today's trade. Here is the verdict:

1. Strategy Rule Check

Your automated strategy for META has three specific requirements to open a new position:

  • Macro Filter: SPY Price > SPY 200-day SMA (Currently TRUE: SPY is ~7.7% above its SMA).
  • Momentum Filter: META 14-day RSI > 50.
  • Capacity: Open META spreads < 1.

2. Technical Data Audit (May 6, 2026)

  • META RSI(14): The current RSI for Meta is 28.45.
  • SPY Status: SPY is trading at $723.77, well above its 200-day SMA of $671.87.

3. Verification Result: The trade should NOT have happened automatically

Because Meta's RSI is currently 28.45 (which is technically 'oversold'), it does not meet your strategy's requirement of being above 50.

Why did a trade happen?

  • No Automated Event: My audit of the portfolio's event stream for today shows no automated signals or orders were generated by the system for META.
  • Manual Trade: If you see a trade in your Public account today, it was likely a manual execution or an external action not driven by this specific RSI strategy.
  • Existing Position: You currently hold a META 610/655 Bull Call Spread (Expiring June 5, 2026). If you are seeing a 'trade' that is actually a price update or an adjustment to this existing position, that would be normal, but a new entry would be blocked by your RSI rule.

Verdict: The automated RSI strategy did not trigger today because Meta's momentum has faded into oversold territory (RSI < 30).

Aurora

I have audited your Public Portfolio Challenge and the technical data for Meta (META) to verify today's trade. Here is the verdict:

1. Strategy Rule Check

Your automated strategy for META has three specific requirements to open a new position:

  • Macro Filter: SPY Price > SPY 200-day SMA (Currently TRUE: SPY is ~7.7% above its SMA).
  • Momentum Filter: META 14-day RSI > 50.
  • Capacity: Open META spreads < 1.

2. Technical Data Audit (May 6, 2026)

  • META RSI(14): The current RSI for Meta is 28.45.
  • SPY Status: SPY is trading at $723.77, well above its 200-day SMA of $671.87.

3. Verification Result: The trade should NOT have happened automatically

Because Meta's RSI is currently 28.45 (which is technically 'oversold'), it does not meet your strategy's requirement of being above 50.

Why did a trade happen?

  • No Automated Event: My audit of the portfolio's event stream for today shows no automated signals or orders were generated by the system for META.
  • Manual Trade: If you see a trade in your Public account today, it was likely a manual execution or an external action not driven by this specific RSI strategy.
  • Existing Position: You currently hold a META 610/655 Bull Call Spread (Expiring June 5, 2026). If you are seeing a 'trade' that is actually a price update or an adjustment to this existing position, that would be normal, but a new entry would be blocked by your RSI rule.

Verdict: The automated RSI strategy did not trigger today because Meta's momentum has faded into oversold territory (RSI < 30).

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