NVIDIA Earnings: Historical Volatility & Weekly Stock Outlook

A comprehensive analysis of NVIDIA's stock performance after earnings reports, including average 1-day and 1-week returns, standard deviations, and current market sentiment with implied volatility for the upcoming week.

User: For NVIDIA's last 8 earnings report, what was the average return the day and the week after they were released? what about the standard deviation?

Aurora: ## Results | Reports Analyzed | Avg Return 1d | Stddev Return 1d | Avg Return 1w | Stddev Return 1w | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 7.00 | 0.0198 | 0.0868 | -0.0026 | 0.1252 | Based on the SQL query provided, here is the summary of the post-earnings performance analysis for [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA). ### Post-Earnings Performance Summary The analysis examined the price action of [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA) following its recent earnings reports. * **Immediate Reaction (1-Day):** On average, [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA) experienced a positive return of **1.98%** on the trading day immediately following an earnings report. However, this comes with significant volatility, indicated by a standard deviation of **8.68%**. This suggests that while the average move is positive, the actual price swing can be massive in either direction. * **Weekly Trend (1-Week):** Interestingly, the performance tends to flatten or slightly reverse over the following week (5 trading days). The average 1-week return is slightly negative at **-0.26%**. The volatility increases further over this longer period, with a standard deviation of **12.52%**. ### Key Observat…

User: what about the last 16

Aurora: ## Results | Reports Analyzed | Avg Return 1d | Stddev Return 1d | Avg Return 1w | Stddev Return 1w | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 15.00 | 0.0334 | 0.0930 | 0.0235 | 0.1311 | Based on the SQL analysis of the last 15 earnings reports for [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA), here is a summary of the post-earnings price performance. ### Key Findings * **Immediate Reaction (1-Day):** On average, [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA) shares increased by **3.34%** on the trading day immediately following an earnings report. * **Weekly Trend (1-Week):** By the end of the first week (5 trading days) post-earnings, the average return dropped slightly to **2.35%**. * **Volatility is High:** The standard deviation for the 1-day return is **9.30%**, and for the 1-week return, it is **13.11%**. ### Analysis & Observations The data suggests that while [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA) generally trends upwards following earnings reports, the volatility is the most significant factor here. 1. **High Variance:** The standard deviation (9.30%) is nearly three times higher than the average 1-day return (3.34%). This indicates that while the *average* outcome is positive, individu…

User: Search the web for NVIDIA's implied movement. Combine the info with what we see in the chat and explain what I can expect from NVIDIA this week

Aurora: | Title | Sentiment | Tickers | Notes (optional) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Nvidia Microsoft and Anthropic Commit to Roughly 45 Billion in AI Partnership](https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvidia-microsoft-and-anthropic-commit-to-roughly-45-billion-in-ai-partnership-281b7b1d) | Positive | [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA), [MSFT](https://nexustrade.io/stock/MSFT) | A massive circular deal where Anthropic commits to $30B in Azure compute, while Microsoft and Nvidia invest a combined $15B into the startup | | [Nvidia set for 320 billion price swing after earnings options indicate](https://www.reuters.com/business/nvidia-set-320-billion-price-swing-after-earnings-options-indicate-2025-11-18/) | Neutral | [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA) | Options markets are pricing in a historic move post-earnings, potentially swinging the market cap by more than the value of most S&P 500 companies | | [Peter Thiels Hedge Fund Dumped Nvidia Shares Just Before Its Big Earnings Report](https://www.investopedia.com/peter-thiel-s-hedge-fund-dumped-nvidia-shares-just-before-its-big-earnings-report-11851890) | Negative | [NVDA](https://nexustrade.io/stock/NVDA) | Founders Fund sold its entire…